How to Interpret FEVD in EViews: Master Your Dissertation Analysis
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How to Interpret FEVD in EViews: Master Your Dissertation Analysis
37 280 просмотров · 8 лет назад
CrunchEconometrix
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37 280 просмотров · 8 лет назад
Interpret FEVD Master Analysis EViews Dissertation | UK, US, Canada
Stuck reading FEVD horizon rows - own-shock vs cross-shock growth for thesis? You are in the right place.
WHAT YOU WILL LEARN:
• Horizon logic: h=1 own dominates, h=10 spillover grows
• Own vs other share reading rule
• How to pick h=10 for thesis standard
• Common mistakes: only h=2, no trend story
WHO THIS IS FOR:
MSc, PhD Economics, Finance, Banking students in UK, US, Canada, Australia, EU.
Hi, I'm Dr Bosede Ngozi Adeleye, Senior Lecturer in Economics (University of Lincoln, UK) and Founder of CrunchEconometrix.
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Are you writing your MSc Economics, Finance, Banking or PhD dissertation using VAR and you have estimated VAR and now want to do Forecast Error Variance Decomposition (FEVD) - also called Variance Decomposition - to show relative importance of shocks? You are in the right place.
FEVD is advanced analysis that gives you distinction in UK/US/Canada/Australia MSc dissertations. It answers: How much of variation in GDP is explained by interest rate shocks? How much of variation in stock market is explained by oil price shocks?
WHAT YOU WILL LEARN:
✓ What is Forecast Error Variance Decomposition (FEVD) - proportion of forecast error variance in one variable explained by shocks to itself and other variables in VAR - relative importance - explained simply
✓ Why FEVD matters for MSc dissertation - shows which variable most exogenous (explains most of its own variation) and which most endogenous (explained by other variables) - policy implications - which shock most important
✓ How to choose Cholesky ordering for FEVD - most exogenous first - theory behind ordering - e.g., oil price exogenous to stock market - so oil first - ordering affects results so theory matters
✓ How to interpret exogenous vs endogenous from FEVD: If variable explains 90% of its own variation = relatively exogenous, If other variables explain 50%+ = relatively endogenous
✓ How to use FEVD for policy implications - which shock most important for policy - example: If exchange rate shocks explain 40% of inflation variation, exchange rate policy important for inflation control
✓ Common mistakes MSc students make: Wrong Cholesky ordering without theory, not explaining that rows sum to 100%, not interpreting over time horizon, not linking to exogenous vs endogenous, not discussing policy
WHO THIS IS FOR:
MSc, MBA, PhD Economics, Finance, Banking, Business Analytics students in UK (Warwick, Manchester, Leeds, Birmingham, Glasgow, Edinburgh, LSE, UCL), US, Canada, Australia, EU who have estimated VAR and want advanced analysis for distinction.
WHAT IS COVERED IN THIS VIDEO:
Recap VAR estimation - lag selection and stability
What is FEVD - simple explanation - relative importance of shocks
Why FEVD matters for MSc - exogenous vs endogenous - policy implications
How to generate FEVD from VAR in EViews - step-by-step - Cholesky ordering and periods
Choosing Cholesky ordering - most exogenous first - theory matters
How to read FEVD table - rows = periods, columns = variables, percentages sum to 100%
Interpreting - own vs other - over time - exogenous vs endogenous
Exporting FEVD table for dissertation
How to report FEVD for UK dissertation - table plus interpretation and policy
Common mistakes and viva tips
If this helped, LIKE, COMMENT your VAR variables and country, SHARE.
FAQ:
Q: How many periods for FEVD?
A: Typically 10 for quarterly and annual, 12 for monthly. Enough to see stabilization.
Q: My variable explains 90% own - what does it mean?
A: Relatively exogenous - other variables shocks don't explain much.
#VAR #FEVD #VarianceDecomposition #EViews #ForecastErrorVarianceDecomposition #TimeSeries #MScDissertation #UKUniversities #Econometrics #VARModel #TimeSeriesAnalysis #EViewsTutorial #DissertationHelp #PhDResearch #VARAnalysis #VarianceDecompositionTutorial #Forecasting"
0:00 Foundations of VAR and Variance Decomposition
0:53 Defining Key Analytical Terminologies
2:30 Deciphering VAR Regression Coefficients
4:47 Decoding Variance Decomposition Tables
9:34 Synthesizing VAR and Decomposition Findings