RECESSION WARNING: Australia Could Be Heading for a CRASH?

Australia’s latest Intergenerational Report attempts to map the country’s future — but are its assumptions remotely realistic? Michael Baragwanath and John Abernethy examine Australia’s falling fertility rate, migration assumptions, weak productivity growth, AI, interest rates and the growing risk of recession. They argue Australia needs more than long-term forecasts: it needs a serious plan for productivity, population, investment and economic growth. The conversation also explores whether AI will genuinely improve Australian productivity, how data centres could reshape the economy, and what Australia can do to reverse its demographic trajectory. Chapters: 00:00 Australia’s economic future 00:54 The Intergenerational Report 01:20 Australia’s falling birth rate 03:03 Why the 40-year forecasts may fail 04:00 RBA and interest-rate risk 05:15 Could Australia enter recession? 06:14 Government spending & inflation 07:22 Can AI actually boost productivity? 09:19 Regulation is killing productivity 11:28 Australia’s economic opportunity 12:49 Should Australia tax AI data centres? 13:53 Trump, Albanese & global instability 15:38 Australia’s demographic problem 16:29 A new incentive for Australian families 18:45 Australia needs a five-year plan 20:03 Why families are having fewer children 20:19 What Israel does differently 21:27 What happens next #Australia #AustralianEconomy #Recession #RecessionWarning #InterestRates #RBA #Inflation #CostOfLiving #Economy #AustralianMarkets #Investing #Finance #MarketUpdate #EconomicCrisis #CashRate #PropertyMarket #StockMarket #Clime #TheView #MichaelBaragwanath