Forecasting With a Stationary AR(1) Model
Morten Nyboe Tabor
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Forecasting With a Stationary AR(1) Model
26 282 просмотра · 10 лет назад
Morten Nyboe Tabor
3,83 тыс. подписчиков
26 282 просмотра · 10 лет назад
We consider forecasting with a stationary AR(1) model. We derive the point forecasts and the variance of the forecasts one, two, and k periods ahead, and we show that these converge to the unconditional mean and variance, respectively, as the forecasting horizon goes to infinity.