The Real Reason Oil Prices Haven’t Fallen Yet | The valuation school

If you’re preparing for CFA, this series will change the way you follow financial news. In this video, we connect CFA concepts with the global oil shock and show you how a finance professional thinks when analysing why oil prices, diesel prices, inflation, bond yields and currencies can all react to the same shock. Explained in simple Hindi for CFA aspirants and candidates. 👉 In this session, you’ll learn about: • Why even a small disruption in global oil supply can cause a sharp rise in crude prices • Why oil supply and demand are relatively inelastic in the short run • How geopolitical tensions can push oil prices higher even before physical supply is disrupted • What a geopolitical risk premium means in oil markets • How shipping disruptions, longer routes and higher war-risk insurance affect the oil market • Why higher shipping costs do not directly become part of the Brent oil price • Why a crude supply recovery does not necessarily mean diesel prices will fall • How diesel crack spreads help analyse the profitability and tightness of refined products • Why diesel demand may remain relatively strong even when prices rise sharply • How oil shocks pass through transportation and distribution costs into consumer inflation • How higher inflation expectations can push government bond yields higher and bond prices lower • Why an oil-importing country can see its currency weaken even when its central bank raises interest rates • Why Indian retail fuel prices may not move one-for-one with international oil and diesel prices • How to distinguish between a crude supply shock, shipping shock and refined-product constraint • How the nature of an oil shock can change as the crisis moves from crude availability to logistics and refining. • How to analyse oil-market developments using CFA concepts such as elasticity, futures, hedging, inflation, bond pricing and currency movements This video helps you move beyond textbook learning and develop a market-reading framework. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Want to revise what you learned in this video? I have created additional resources to help you understand and test your knowledge of Bond Selloff: 📑 Session Slides: Download the complete presentation used in this video and revise the concepts: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1E5ye... 📊 Video Concepts Summary Two pager: https://drive.google.com/file/d/1ZjfM... 📝Test Your Understanding: https://docs.google.com/forms/d/e/1FA... ------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Starting your CFA Level 1 journey? Join our CFA Level 1 Classes at Parth Verma Classes: ✅300+ hours of core learning lectures ✅50+ hours of quick revisions video ✅10+ hours of Practice questions solving ✅Concise TVS Revision Notes ✅CFA-Style Question Packs ✅Doubt Solving Forum ✅Practical learning sessions Enroll Now: https://thevaluationschool.in/CFAL1 Brochure: https://thevaluationschool.in/CFAbroc... -------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 👉 Stay connected with us: - Instagram handle (TVS): https://thevaluationschool.in/instgra... Instagram handle (Parth Verma Classes): https://thevaluationschool.in/instagr... Newsletter - https://thevaluationschool.in/newslet... WhatsApp Channel- https://thevaluationschool.in/wachann... LinkedIn (Parth Sir): https://thevaluationschool.in/linkedinPV LinkedIn (The Valuation School page) - https://thevaluationschool.in/linkedi...