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I Found the Most Clutch NBA Player Ever

guyknowballogist

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I Found the Most Clutch NBA Player Ever

2 429 просмотров · 1 дн. назад
guyknowballogist
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2 429 просмотров · 1 дн. назад
I built CLUTCH, gave it 43 seasons and 10,000 tries, and watched it break over and over. At one point it said the most clutch player in NBA history was a guy with one clutch shot. By the end, two names were left standing, and it got closer than I ever expected. Never needing it, or needing it and delivering: which would you take? And tell me who I should run through CLUTCH next. 🔔 Subscribe if you want more barbershop debates settled with spreadsheets. ⏱️ Chapters 0:00 Game 7, five seconds left 0:37 They never show you the misses 0:46 What clutch means 1:11 Meet CLUTCH 1:36 Version 1: Total clutch points 2:07 Version 2: Per play 2:53 Version 3: A real sample 3:43 Version 4: Better than yourself 4:29 Version 5: Behind or tied 5:09 Version 6: Stakes 5:57 Version 7: Carrying more 6:36 The coin-flip test 7:22 The 1996 problem 8:05 Back to 1983 9:01 The verdict 9:38 The real question 10:20 Who gets the credit 11:06 The countdown 11:56 The reveal 12:21 Two roads 12:41 The first road 13:26 The second road 14:29 The ending 15:05 Fine print 📊 How CLUTCH works (Could Luck Undo The Clutch Hero) Data (stats.nba.com via nba_api): the NBA’s clutch splits (last 5 minutes, score within 5) from 1996-97 to 2025-26: 2,415 players and 764,627 clutch minutes. Every box score from 1983-84 on, 43 seasons, for the final model. The luck test: 10,000 pretend universes where clutch doesn’t exist, plus odd seasons vs. even seasons. Clutch as a repeatable skill couldn’t be told apart from chance. Championship swing: how much each playoff game moved a team’s odds of winning the title, split among the players by what they produced in that game (Game Score). Wins earn credit, losses take blame. 3,375 playoff games, 2,134 players, scored in championships. The rules were written down before the first run. Stress test: 10,000 universes, each randomly changing how much games swing, which team rating is used, the stat used for production, how blame is shared, which seasons count, and a dose of luck on every game. Music and sound effects made from scratch for this channel. #NBA #NBAHistory #Basketball