两院都丢了的特朗普，北京反而更好办了？答案没那么简单。特朗普最急着做交易的这后两年，为什么北京偏偏选择等？｜艾森 Essen

两院都丢了的特朗普，对中国来说是好事还是坏事？ 11 月 3 号投票夜，快到午夜的时候，特朗普在自己的社交平台上只发了一张照片：一顶红帽子，上面印着一个词，VETO，否决。差不多同一个时候，美联社判定民主党拿下参议院；德州选出了 1988 年以来第一位民主党联邦参议员，连州长阿博特都丢了位子。 即将接任众议院监督委员会主席的加西亚放话，要查特朗普家族、查公司腐败，最后留了两个小字：「找律师吧。」 很多人以为，一个被国会围着、急着要成绩的跛脚总统，北京正好趁机多拿。可是 2019 年他上一次输掉国会时签下的那份第一阶段协议，2500 亿美元商品的 25% 关税，到今天一分没动。 他能送出去的，为什么只有他自己签的那一层？ 北京为什么不急着跟一个最想做交易的总统签大单？ 11 月 9 号，第一个信号已经定好了时间，接下来两年会怎么走？ 这期视频，艾森用 2019 年的档案和 2026 年的法条，把这笔账算给你看。 #美国中期选举 #特朗普 #中美关系 #北京会等 #艾森 Trump just lost both houses of Congress. Is that good or bad news for Beijing? On election night, close to midnight, Trump posted a single image: a red cap with one word on it — VETO. Around the same time, the AP called the Senate for the Democrats. Texas elected its first Democratic US senator since 1988, and Governor Greg Abbott lost his seat. Robert Garcia, set to chair the House Oversight Committee, promised to investigate the Trump family and corporate corruption, then added two words: "Lawyer up." Many assume a lame-duck president desperate for a win is Beijing's chance to grab more. But the last time Trump lost Congress, in 2019, he signed the Phase One deal — and the 25% tariffs on $250 billion of Chinese goods are still in place today. Why can Trump only give away what he signed himself? Why is Beijing in no hurry to close a big deal with the most deal-hungry president? The first signal is already scheduled for November 9. What happens over the next two years? Using the 2019 record and the 2026 statutes, Essen does the math. #Midterms2026 #Trump #USChina #Beijing #Essen 艾森 Essen｜推特 x.com/essen_ai｜油管    / @essenai   Join this channel to get access to perks:    / @essenai