Option Chain सही है, आपका दिन गलत है | The 2 Lakh OI Rule | CA Sumeet Mongia
CA Sumeet Mongia
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Option Chain सही है, आपका दिन गलत है | The 2 Lakh OI Rule | CA Sumeet Mongia
11 425 просмотров · 2 дня назад
CA Sumeet Mongia
81,8 тыс. подписчиков
11 425 просмотров · 2 дня назад
Kuch log mere last Open Interest video se profit banane lage. Aur
kuch logon ne likha — "Sir, aap ka Option Chain wala tareeka mujh
par kaam nahi kiya."
Dono sahi hain. Kyunki tareeka galat nahi hai — aap use galat DIN
istemaal kar rahe ho.
That's what this video fixes.
I start with a simple satta / matka example — 0 to 9, people place
money on each number, and you get to decide which number opens. You
will obviously open the number with the least money on it, because
that's where you pay out the least. That single idea IS the option
chain. Where the crowd's money sits, the market does not want to go.
Then I take a live Nifty option chain and show it strike by strike
— 23,500, 23,400, 23,300 — who the buyers are on each side, and
which side the market has every incentive to hurt.
BUT HERE'S THE PART NOBODY TALKS ABOUT — THE TIMING.
When you decide which number to open, you assume all the money is
already placed. What if betting closes at 5 PM and you decided at
2 PM? In those three hours another ₹10 lakh lands on the number you
picked. Suddenly you're paying out ₹99 lakh instead of ₹9 lakh.
Your logic was perfect. Your timing ruined it.
This is exactly what most traders do — they open the option chain
the DAY AFTER expiry and start predicting. At that point the OI
hasn't built up at all. You're reading an unfinished picture.
SO WHEN SHOULD YOU READ IT?
→ Wednesday & Thursday — skip it, the data is raw
→ Friday onwards — the picture starts becoming clear
→ Monday & Tuesday — the most reliable days to act
AND IF YOU DON'T WANT TO WAIT — THE 2 LAKH RULE.
Any day of the week, if a Nifty strike crosses 2 lakh OI on the
CALL side, treat it as a level the market will struggle to cross —
a strong resistance. On the PUT side I look for roughly 2.5 lakh
for the same confidence on support. Cross that number and you can
place your bet without waiting for expiry week to mature.
Watch the next 4-5 expiries with these two rules in hand. Then come
back and tell me in the comments whether it worked.
Copy-pen ready rakhna. Aaj ka din insightful hone wala hai.
⏱️ CHAPTERS
00:00 Intro — why this one needs your patience
03:58 23,500 — who do you want to pay, and who do you hurt?
08:03 The 2 PM vs 5 PM trap explained
11:15 Why 2 lakh — years of watching this number
14:49 Something big coming soon 👀
💬 Try this on the next 4-5 expiries and comment what you found.
Want a specific topic next? Drop it in the comments — that's how I
pick what to make.
Something new is launching very soon — kuch kadak dosto se kuch
kadak baat. You'll hear it on the WhatsApp channel first.
#OptionChain #OpenInterest #NiftyOptions #OptionChainAnalysis
#OptionSelling #OITrading #StockMarketIndia #TradingHindi
#NiftyPrediction #CASumeetMongia
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Disclaimer: This video is for educational purposes only and is not
investment advice. I am not a SEBI-registered investment advisor.
The strikes and levels discussed are teaching examples, not
recommendations. Derivatives trading carries substantial risk —
please do your own research or consult a qualified advisor. The
satta/matka reference is used purely as an analogy to explain
probability and payouts, and is not an endorsement of gambling.
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