What Will Happen When Boomers Die...
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What Will Happen When Boomers Die...
18 195 просмотров · 6 дн. назад
Negative Alpha
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18 195 просмотров · 6 дн. назад
Baby Boomers peaked at 78.8 million people. Within the next two decades, the largest generation in modern US history will move through retirement, inheritance, housing and healthcare. So what does the evidence actually say will happen?
TIMESTAMPS
00:00 – Who are the Baby Boomers?
01:45 – Population & timing
05:00 – The workforce (and AI)
09:25 – Wealth & the $124 trillion transfer
13:17 – Small business succession
14:45 – Housing
17:35 – Healthcare & Medicare
19:27 – Social Security
22:05 – The global picture
22:45 – What the evidence does (and doesn’t) support
SOURCES
• Congressional Budget Office (Demographic Outlook, Jan 2026): cbo.gov
• US Census Bureau population projections & business ownership data: census.gov
• Bureau of Labor Statistics employment projections: bls.gov
• Federal Reserve Distributional Financial Accounts: federalreserve.gov
• Social Security & Medicare Trustees Reports (2026): ssa.gov, cms.gov
• Congressional Research Service, Social Security trust funds: crsreports.congress.gov
• Pew Research Center, generation population data: pewresearch.org
• Cerulli Associates, Great Wealth Transfer (2024)
• Zillow, “Silver Tsunami” housing analysis (2019)
• Mortgage Bankers Association, Research Institute for Housing America (2022)
• Gallup, small business succession survey (2024)
• Deloitte & Manufacturing Institute, manufacturing workforce study
• Genworth & CareScout Cost of Care Survey (2024)
• New York Fed, recent graduate labor market
• Stanford working paper on AI and entry-level employment (not peer reviewed)
• Einav, Finkelstein, Mullainathan & Obermeyer, Science (2018)
• United Nations, World Population Ageing
Projections are estimates. CBO itself calls its projections “highly uncertain.”
FINANCIAL DISCLAIMER: This video is for educational and entertainment purposes only and does not constitute financial, investment, or tax advice.