The Hurricane That Beat Its Own Forecast Is Now Crawling at 3 mph, and That’s the Problem

Hurricane Simon hit 150 mph, 25 mph above the forecast peak. Now it’s crawling at just 3 mph off Mexico, and its leftover moisture is heading toward the Plains and Midwest for flooding rain, severe storms, and a sudden freeze after record heat. NOAA also gives an 83% chance of a historic El Niño. In this video: 0:00 Four surprises, one ocean 0:45 Surprise 1: Simon beats its forecast 2:00 Surprise 2: The stall and the rain threat 3:45 Surprise 3: Moisture to the Plains, flood then freeze 5:45 Surprise 4: Historic El Niño 7:15 Safety checklist (Mexico, Plains, freeze, California) Sources: National Hurricane Center, NOAA Climate Prediction Center, Weather Prediction Center, Storm Prediction Center. Subscribe to US Weather Forecast for storm alerts and extreme weather updates. Tell me in the comments where you’re watching from! Keywords hurricane simon, hurricane simon 2026, hurricane simon update, hurricane simon mexico, hurricane simon forecast, hurricane simon landfall, hurricane simon track, hurricane simon rapid intensification, stalled hurricane, slow moving hurricane, Pacific hurricane, eastern Pacific hurricane, Puerto Vallarta hurricane, Jalisco hurricane, Sinaloa flooding, Mazatlan hurricane, Islas Marias, tropical storm Rachel, Rachel California, Southern California storm, historic El Niño, El Niño 2026, strong El Niño, NOAA El Niño update, NOAA winter outlook, winter forecast 2026, California winter storms, atmospheric river, flash flooding, flash flood warning, severe weather outbreak, Plains severe storms, Oklahoma storms, Texas Panhandle storms, Kansas storms, Missouri flooding, freeze warning, first freeze, frost warning, cold front, record heat, Nashville record high, weather forecast, weather news, extreme weather, storm update, hurricane preparedness, National Hurricane Center, US Weather Forecast Hashtags #Hurricane #Hurricane2026 #HurricaneSeason #TropicalStorm #Mexico #PuertoVallarta #Mazatlan #ElNino2026 #NOAA #NHC #SevereWeather #FlashFlood #Freeze #WinterOutlook #California #Oklahoma #Texas #Midwest #BreakingWeather #StormAlert #WeatherNews #ExtremeWeather #ClimateUpdate #USWeatherForecast