Mearsheimer China Will NOT Rise Peacefully — The BRUTAL Truth Jeffrey Sachs Ignores
Geopolitics Analysis US
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Mearsheimer China Will NOT Rise Peacefully — The BRUTAL Truth Jeffrey Sachs Ignores
6 906 просмотров · 1 дн. назад
Geopolitics Analysis US
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6 906 просмотров · 1 дн. назад
Jeffrey Sachs says China is different — that its Confucian tradition will let it rise peacefully. John Mearsheimer says that's a dangerous illusion. Professor Mearsheimer explains why every great power wants to become a regional hegemon, why the US crushed every rival that tried, and why China will push America out beyond the island chains. He also explains why the Ukraine war is "manna from heaven" for Beijing, why Trump can't peel Russia away from China, how Washington built its own peer competitor in the 1990s — and why he still believes war with China is not inevitable.
⏱️ CHAPTERS
0:00 Can China rise peacefully?
1:06 Where Mearsheimer and Sachs disagree
2:24 Anarchy: why only the strongest survive
3:52 China's century of humiliation
4:46 NATO expansion: what happens when you're weak
6:17 Why every great power wants to be a regional hegemon
7:20 How the US stopped four would-be hegemons
8:06 China will try to dominate East Asia
10:06 Deng's "hide your strength" & the peaceful-rise story
12:50 Why Russia won't help contain China
14:43 Can Trump peel Russia away from China?
18:28 Are great powers rational? The Ukraine puzzle
21:01 2008: the decision that led to war
23:14 Vietnam's lesson: easy to get in, hard to get out
25:05 "Manna from heaven" for China
26:27 Was the 2014 strategy rational?
28:03 Russia is not the Soviet Union
30:54 Why China is a different story
32:00 Where is the US–China rivalry headed?
33:09 How America built its own rival
35:24 Liberalism & Confucianism: two peaceful-rise myths
36:46 "A lone voice in the wilderness"
38:55 "I want the Americans out": the island chains
41:18 The tragedy of great power politics
42:10 Security competition is not war
45:31 The golden goose argument
47:00 Survival trumps prosperity
⚠️ Disclaimer: Views expressed belong to the speakers. B-roll is licensed stock or archival footage.
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