Is German Real Estate Dead?
PerFinEx
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Is German Real Estate Dead?
6 088 просмотров · 2 мес. назад
PerFinEx
23,2 тыс. подписчиков
6 088 просмотров · 2 мес. назад
The brand-new Postbank Housing Atlas 2026 (Wohnatlas) just dropped a scary prediction: Real estate in Germany will experience less than 1% inflation-adjusted annual value growth until 2035. 😱
Just 4 years ago, German property prices skyrocketed by a staggering 14,2% in a single year. How did the market collapse from double-digit surges to predictions that barely beat a standard bank account? Is German real estate officially dead, or are the studies missing the big picture? 🤔
In this video, we reveal what changed in the German housing market, compare alternative forecasts predicting up to 40% growth, and break down the real math of German real estate. Learn why measuring total market growth vs. your actual Return on Equity (Eigenkapitalrendite) is the biggest mistake investors make.
📊 In This Video, We Cover:
The Postbank 2026 Study: Why national averages (0.41% real growth) are misleading.
Macro Headwinds: The end of 1% interest rates, aging demographics, and strict energy efficiency laws (Gebäudeenergiegesetz - GEG).
The Counter-Perspective: Optimistic forecasts from IW Köln, DIW, and FINVIA predicting up to 7% yearly returns and a 40% rise in Big 7 cities like Munich, Berlin, and Hamburg.
The 4-Stage Location Framework: How to evaluate Macro Situations, Micro Neighborhoods, and Property Conditions.
Real Estate vs. ETFs: The 3 financial levers (Rental Yield, Bank Leverage, and Tax Shields) that turn modest appreciation into double-digit Return on Equity (Eigenkapitalrendite).
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