No Surprise: Russia's Duma Election Explained

Exit polls put United Russia between 49 and 53 percent, with the Communists around 14, the LDPR around 10, New People around 9, and A Just Russia just over the threshold. We work through what those numbers are and aren't. Why turnout became the metric that matters more than the result. What electronic voting and workplace mobilization do to the figures. Why the pollsters themselves note their surveys didn't cover the border regions, the new regions, the military, or anyone who voted online. And what it means that the only party campaigning on ending the war had its federal list struck off a month before the vote.