Yields Stall Triggering Market Jump, Bullish Bias Remains, Micron Earnings Moves And Top Trades
Verified Investing
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Yields Stall Triggering Market Jump, Bullish Bias Remains, Micron Earnings Moves And Top Trades
86 468 просмотров · Трансляция закончилась 10 часов назад
Verified Investing
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86 468 просмотров · Трансляция закончилась 10 часов назад
Yields stall, stocks jump, and Gareth stays bullish with a list of quarter-start swing trades.
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The 10-Year spiked to 5.34% overnight and S&P futures dumped. When yields eased, the market bounced right back. Micron beat on revenue and earnings and raised guidance, but the stock barely moved. Gareth Soloway maps the levels into tomorrow's jobs report, and the window-undressing snapback trades he's watching to start the new quarter.
📐 ON TODAY'S SHOW
🔵 YIELDS DRIVE EVERYTHING — Futures tracked the 10-Year tick for tick: the dump came at the 5.34% high, and the bid came back when it eased. Jobless claims came in at 197,000, which is historically low and points to a solid payrolls report tomorrow at 8:30am.
🟢 THE S&P STAYS BULLISH — Six of the last seven days have been red, yet it's still only about 2% from all-time highs and above the neutral zone. Yields are at 20-plus-year highs and oil is north of $90, and the market is still near its highs.
🟢 RSP — THE EQUAL WEIGHT BUY LEVEL — The equal-weight S&P is down about 7% while the regular index is down 2%. Gareth found a diamond in the rough at $204.70 to $205: a former pivot, an unfilled gap and the 50% fib all in one spot. It's a retrace to the scene of the crime.
🟢 WINDOW UNDRESSING SNAPBACKS — Fund managers dump losers into quarter end so clients never see them, and those names often snap back when the new quarter starts. FICO bounced almost 10% pre-market from $592, and Gareth already sold it. Nike sits at major multi-factor support with earnings after the bell.
🔵 MU AND GOOGL — Micron is barely moving, and Gareth would only day trade a flush to the $1,015 gap fill. The CEO couldn't say when new memory supply comes online, which made investors nervous. Google's new Gemini 4 Argon model freed up hundreds of terabytes of memory in its data centers. That's the risk Gareth has flagged for months: a memory glut within a year to a year and a half.
🟢 AGNC — Two trend lines merge at $8.95, just 13 cents away, with RSI below 20. Gareth says the data puts bounce odds near 80% when that combination appears.
🔴 GOLD AND SILVER — A break of $4,100 on gold tests $3,900 and opens $3,500. Gareth's buy orders for silver are loaded at $50 or below. If high rates and oil slow the economy, industrial demand for silver slows with it.
🔵 NAT GAS AND BITCOIN — Gareth is long nat gas, slightly underwater from a ~$2.90 average, on seasonality and Europe's deficit. Bitcoin is flat: a bull flag or a micro bear flag. Rising dominance warns altcoins like Zcash, up 250%, could see a 30% pullback.
🔑 KEY TAKEAWAY: Know your worst case before you trade your best case. Gareth maps $3,500 on gold even though he's long term bullish. Ignoring the downside on a position you love is how traders lose money.
⏱ TIMESTAMPS (estimated)
00:00 Yields Stall, Futures Jump
01:05 The Overnight Spike to 5.34%
02:25 Jobless Claims and Tomorrow's Payrolls
03:20 S&P Stays Above Neutral
04:50 The Equal Weight Buy Level
07:15 Window Undressing: Nike and FICO
10:05 Micron's Muted Earnings
11:40 Google's Gemini 4 Argon and the Memory Risk
13:50 AGNC's 80% Setup
14:30 Gold's $4,100 Line
16:00 Sponsor: Rumble Wallet
17:10 Silver: Buying at $50
18:40 Nat Gas and Bitcoin
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💬 COMMENT below: Does Nike bounce or break on earnings tonight?
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⚠️ Educational and informational only — not financial advice. Gareth Soloway and Verified Investing are not registered investment advisors. Trading involves substantial risk of loss. Past performance does not indicate future results.
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