Check This Number Before Buying - Reverse DCF
InvestKaar
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Check This Number Before Buying - Reverse DCF
25 027 просмотров · 3 недели назад
InvestKaar
161 тыс. подписчиков
25 027 просмотров · 3 недели назад
You got a WhatsApp tip saying a PKR 200 stock is going to PKR 400! Before you buy, you need to know if it's even possible. Answer → Reverse DCF — a tool used by every professional investor but rarely taught — that flips the standard valuation model to show exactly what earnings growth the market is already pricing into a stock's current price.
Using real examples (Haleon vs. AGP, Thatta Cement vs. GWLC, FFC vs. Mari Petroleum), Furqan walks through how to check whether a stock's implied growth rate is realistic or a red flag, how to compare two companies in the same sector to spot mispricing, and the key limitations of this model — including why it doesn't work for banks and why one-time earnings adjustments (like Mari's tax reversal) must be corrected before using it.
If you're picking direct stocks without checking numbers like these, you're taking on risk you may not be accounting for. Watch till the end for who this tool isn't a substitute for.
📊 Reverse DCF Dashboard: https://investkaar.com/resources/reve...
Interested in a long-term, portfolio-led approach? Learn more about InvestKaar Advisory: https://investkaar.com/
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CHAPTERS:
00:00 – Intro!
00:31 – Introducing Reverse DCF
01:08 – What This Tool Actually Tells You
01:58 – Example: The Rs 200 Stock Tip Explained
03:15 – Dashboard Walkthrough: The 6 Inputs
04:16 – Testing a Real Tip
05:36 – Adding Your Own Growth Estimate (DCF Layer)
06:11 – Saving & Managing Multiple Companies
06:51 – Comparing Two Stocks: Haleon vs. AGP
08:03 – Cement Sector Example: Thatta Cement vs. GWLC
09:56 – FFC vs. Mari Petroleum Example
11:35 – Limitation #1: Doesn't Work for Banks
11:35 – Limitation #2: EPS vs. Cash Flow Mismatch
12:40 – Limitation #3: One-Time Earnings Adjustments
13:48 – Why Most People Should Use Mutual Funds/ETFs Instead
14:28 – Outro!