Every Bubble Had the Same 3 Warning Signs. They're Back.
Money Lens
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Every Bubble Had the Same 3 Warning Signs. They're Back.
2 284 просмотра · 1 дн. назад
Money Lens
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2 284 просмотра · 1 дн. назад
In 1637 a single tulip bulb sold for the price of a house. In 1989 one of Japan's biggest investors took stock tips from a ceramic toad. In 2021 two pizzas were worth $690 million.
Every major stock market bubble, from tulips to 2021's everything bubble, scored on the same three warning signs. Then the two questions that matter: what popped each one, and who paid? And finally, today's AI boom, scored the same way.
The SpaceX IPO story from our last video: • Every Mega IPO Before a Crash
Chapters
0:00 Intro: "We've never had a decline"
1:19 1637: Tulips
4:01 1720: John Law and paper money
6:14 1929: Wall Street
8:17 1989: Japan
11:19 2000: Dot-com
13:37 2008: Housing
15:59 2021: The everything bubble
19:24 2026: Scoring today
22:52 The pattern
Sources
Anne Goldgar, Tulipmania: Money, Honor, and Knowledge in the Dutch Golden Age (2007)
François Velde, "John Law's System" (AEA, 2007); Winton, "The Mississippi Bubble"
Federal Reserve History, "Stock Market Crash of 1929"
Robert Shiller CAPE data via multpl.com
Japanese asset price bubble: Bank of Japan rate history; Nikkei 225 (FRED)
Barron's, "Burning Up" (20 March 2000); Nasdaq Composite (FRED)
S&P CoreLogic Case-Shiller US National Home Price Index (FRED); Financial Crisis Inquiry Commission Report (2011)
St Louis Fed, "The Rise and Fall of M2" (2023); GameStop and ARKK prices (Yahoo Finance)
US 10-year Treasury yield (FRED DGS10); Trading Economics
Big Tech capex and cash flow: company filings via 24/7 Wall St. (31 Oct 2026); Fortune (7 Mar 2026)
Archive footage: CNBC, CBS News, AP Archive, Crypto.com, NBC News, Tokyo Stock Exchange 1990 (Lyle Hiroshi Saxon). Images: Wikimedia Commons, Library of Congress, Rijksmuseum (licences shown on screen).
This video is for education and entertainment only. It is not financial advice.
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