Australia’s Biggest House Price Fall in History (Worse Than 2008?)
The Investor Accelerator и Jason Pizzino
0:00 / 0:00
Australia’s Biggest House Price Fall in History (Worse Than 2008?)
6 162 просмотра · 5 часов назад
The Investor Accelerator и Jason Pizzino
6 162 просмотра · 5 часов назад
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Australian dwelling values have now fallen six consecutive months, sitting 5.2% below their March peak as new warnings suggest this downturn could break modern records. Yet with the IMF forecasting persistent inflation and the Reserve Bank leaving further rate hikes on the table, borrowing capacity is shrinking right as household budgets come under pressure. Whether you own a home with a mortgage, are saving to buy, or hold an investment property, the next 12 to 18 months will decide which side of this market shift you land on.
In this video, we break down the four critical forces unfolding across Australian real estate: what Chris Joye's peak-to-trough forecast actually signals for property prices, how today's slide measures up against past downturns and the 2008 crash, why sticky IMF inflation forecasts delay mortgage relief, and the three key market indicators that will reveal whether property stabilizes or slides toward a record decline.
CHAPTERS:
0:00 - Warning of a Record Property Fall
0:47 - The Critical Next 12 to 18 Months
1:35 - Private Stream on the 18-Year Cycle
2:36 - Joy's Peak to Trough Price Forecast
3:37 - How This Downturn Compares to 2008
4:43 - Why IMF Inflation Targets Matter
5:45 - The Risk of Rates Staying Higher
6:57 - The Math of Wiped-Out Equity
7:51 - Arrears Data vs Household Buffers
9:00 - The Winner's Curse Phase
9:32 - 3 Signals That Set the Direction
10:08 - Action Plan for Owners and Buyers
11:00 - Community Question and Key Dates
💬 Drop your call in the comments: Do you think savings and steady jobs keep this falling short of the 9.1% record, or do high borrowing costs and softer job markets push past that record? I'll be reading and replying to as many as I can.
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🔎 𝗥𝗲𝗹𝗮𝘁𝗲𝗱 𝗦𝗲𝗮𝗿𝗰𝗵𝗲𝘀:
Australian Property Market - Chris Joye Forecast - CoreLogic Home Values - RBA Cash Rate - IMF Inflation Australia - House Price Falls - 18-Year Cycle Peak - Macro Real Estate Analysis
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