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Economics of Hormuz and your Cylinder

The Economic Fable

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Economics of Hormuz and your Cylinder

76 просмотров · 7 дн. назад
The Economic Fable
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76 просмотров · 7 дн. назад
होर्मुज़ से रोज़ 85 जहाज़ गुज़रते थे। फिर, सिर्फ़ 3। 2,000 किलोमीटर दूर समुद्र की एक पतली गली ने आपके रसोई गैस सिलेंडर का दाम कैसे तय कर दिया? इस वीडियो में: लंदन का वो बीमा जिसने बिना गोली चलाए समुद्र बंद कर दिया, पाइपलाइन का भ्रम, ईरान का "टोल बूथ", और ₹503 का वो बिल जो आपको दिखता नहीं। हर नंबर का सोर्स नीचे है; जहाँ आंकड़ा रिपोर्ट या अनुमान है, वहाँ "reports" या "≈" लिखा है। हालात हर दिन बदल रहे हैं: आंकड़े अक्टूबर 2026 तक के हैं। ⏱ Chapters 0:00 85 से 3 जहाज़ 0:44 एक कमरा, एक दरवाज़ा 1:52 इस दरवाज़े से क्या गुज़रता है 2:21 ये तेल जाता कहाँ है? 3:25 बिना बंद किए, बंद: लंदन का बीमा 4:46 पाइपलाइन का भ्रम 5:30 40 साल क्यों नहीं, और अब क्यों? 7:18 एक सिलेंडर का सफ़र 8:45 पूरी तस्वीर 📚 Sources (time = where it is said) [1] 0:00 Ships a day through Hormuz: ~85 before the war, ~3 in March: IMF PortWatch https://portwatch.imf.org/ [2] 0:07 Delhi domestic LPG ₹853 → ₹913 (7 March 2026): Free Press Journal https://www.freepressjournal.in/amp/b... [3] 0:12 Restaurants on wood and coal; India's LPG imports (~60%, 85–95% from the Gulf): The Week (10 Mar 2026) https://www.theweek.in/news/biz-tech/... [4] 0:17 Brent $72.48 on 27 Feb, above $100 on 8 March: The Daily Ittefaq; hormuz.now https://en.ittefaq.com.bd/17106/brent... [5] 1:55 Hormuz in 2024: ~20 mb/d, 1 in 5 barrels, 84% to Asia, US ~0.5 mb/d; ~2.6 mb/d spare in the bypass pipes: U.S. EIA https://hydrocarbonprocessing.com/new... [6] 2:42 Over 40% of India's crude comes through Hormuz: CARE Ratings (reported by UNI) [7] 3:04 India's reserves ≈ 9.5 days; Japan, S. Korea ~200: ISPRL; IEA [8] 3:28 28 Feb strikes, attacks, cover prices, 13 Apr blockade, 13 Sept drone attack, Kpler ~13 mb/d: hormuz.now timeline https://hormuz.now/timeline [9] 3:39 Indian seafarers killed on 1 March: ETV Bharat https://www.etvbharat.com/en/internat... [10] 3:46 Lloyd's Joint War Committee, JWLA-033 (3 March): Seatrade Maritime https://www.seatrade-maritime.com/sec... [11] 4:36 ~2,000 ships, ~20,000 seafarers stranded: UN News (IMO) https://news.un.org/en/story/2026/03/... [12] 5:35 Tanker War 1984–88; Bridgeton mine, 24 July 1987: U.S. Navy records [13] 6:12 Kharg ~90% of Iran's oil; China its biggest buyer: industry estimates [14] 6:46 Permits and fees of $1–2 million a ship (reports): straits.live https://straits.live/strait-of-hormuz... [15] 7:25 Saudi Aramco propane, April 2026: $750 a tonne: Argaam https://www.argaam.com/en/reports/pro... [16] 7:35 Rupee at a record low of 95.2 a dollar (30 April): Angel One https://www.angelone.in/news/economy/... [17] 7:54 IOC chairman: ₹503 lost per domestic cylinder; Delhi ₹942: Business Today https://www.businesstoday.in/india/st... [18] 8:13 LPG losses over ₹51,000 crore by 30 June (Lok Sabha): Angel One https://www.angelone.in/news/economy/... [19] 8:28 Delhi petrol ₹94.77 → ₹102.12 in May: Khaleej Times https://www.khaleejtimes.com/business... [20] 8:38 In July over 73% of India's LPG came from the US: Free Press Journal (Kpler data) https://www.freepressjournal.in/india... [21] 9:25 1991: India pledges its gold: ThePrint (book excerpt) https://theprint.in/pageturner/excerp... Our maths: gas in one 14.2 kg cylinder = 0.0142 t × $750 = $10.65; × ₹95.2 ≈ ₹1,014. Real cost ≈ ₹942 + ₹503 = ₹1,445. 📷 Archive photos Hormuz from the ISS (2016): NASA, public domain. Escorted tankers (1987) and USS Samuel B. Roberts (1988): U.S. Navy, public domain. The Lutine Bell, Lloyd's: Colin, CC BY-SA 4.0, Wikimedia Commons: https://commons.wikimedia.org/wiki/Fi... 🎵 Music (YouTube Audio Library): The Big Score – MK2 · The Urban Groove – Hanu Dixit · Woodshedder – Quincas Moreira · invocation – Lish Grooves यह वीडियो शिक्षा के लिए है, वित्तीय सलाह नहीं। Educational content, not financial advice. Pictures: AI-assisted, animated by hand. Voice: AI narration. #Hormuz #LPG #EconomicsInHindi