Half of Auctions Failed. Why Hasn't the Housing Crash Hit Yet?
The Investor Accelerator и Jason Pizzino
0:00 / 0:00
Half of Auctions Failed. Why Hasn't the Housing Crash Hit Yet?
17 231 просмотр · 2 дня назад
The Investor Accelerator и Jason Pizzino
17 231 просмотр · 2 дня назад
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Less than half of Australia's auctions cleared this weekend, with preliminary clearance rates dropping to 48.2% and national home values already sliding 5.2% below their March peak. Yet despite consecutive monthly price declines and falling buyer turnover, the rapid nationwide collapse many predicted hasn't materialized—turning into a prolonged grind instead. Whether you're carrying a mortgage, holding investment property, or waiting to buy into this market, the next 12 to 18 months will decide which side of this gap you land on.
In this video, we break down the four critical forces unfolding across Australian real estate: what a 48.2% auction clearance rate actually measures, why advertised listings are piling up even as new listings fall, the crucial difference between cash flow and equity that allows owners to wait, and the RBA "double trigger" risk pathway that could turn this slow grind into an accelerated downturn.
CHAPTERS:
0:00 - Auction Clearance Rates Plunge to 48.2%
0:22 - Why the Property Market Is a Grind, Not a Crash
1:10 - 4 Critical Breakdown Points
1:35 - Where Are We in the Property Cycle?
1:57 - What Auction Clearance Rates Actually Measure
2:58 - The Anatomy of a Failed Auction
4:02 - CoreLogic Data: 6 Months of Consecutive Price Falls
4:48 - Listings Pile Up: The Checkout Queue Effect
5:48 - Why Aren't Sellers Being Forced to Sell?
6:09 - RBA Cash Rate at 4.6% & Financial Buffers
7:16 - Cash Flow vs Equity: The Big Mistake
7:41 - The RBA Double Trigger Research
8:42 - How a Slow Grind Accelerates into a Crash
9:50 - 2 Traps in Real Estate Data
10:22 - 3-Step Action Plan for Borrowers & Buyers
11:36 - Why the Housing Crash Hasn't Hit Yet
12:20 - Community Question & Outro
💬 Drop your call in the comments: Are owners near you lowering their price or are they taking property off the market? I'll be reading and replying to as many as I can.
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Australian Property Market - Auction Clearance Rates - CoreLogic Home Values - RBA Interest Rates - Cash Rate 4.6% - Mortgage Stress - 18-Year Cycle Peak - Macro Real Estate Analysis
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